Saturday, February 16, 2019

The challenge and promise of Self Driving Cars

There is a lot of excitement in the space of autonomous vehicles. As per some studies, 90%+ of the accidents caused today, happen because of human errors. In view of this, obviously, it makes a lot of sense to automate that task. However, we should also realize that humans are able to handle several edge case / tricky scenario(s) in a fairly competent manner, and that unless the Autonomous Vehicle(s) ( AVs ) are subjected to a lot of testing, using them might increase accident(s) in the short term.

Here is a snippet from an article by Rand corp, establishing the scope of the effort required to prove the safety of AVs from a statistical stand point.
"
With a fleet of 100 autonomous vehicles being test-driven 24 hours a day, 365 days a year at an average speed of 25 miles per hour, this ( 
This is approximately 8.8 billion miles ) would take about 400 years
"
Hopefully, we are able to chip away successfully at the 400 year, with an gradual and calculated increase in the number of AVs and also with the use of high quality simulations.

No comments: